At the IMF and World Bank meetings in Bangkok, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark said an internal model sees a possible jump in US economic output by 2030 under sustained AI progress, while warning that safety rules are urgent.
Speaking at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark said AI capabilities were improving quickly and could reshape many fields. He cited an internal model that, under certain assumptions, projected US economic output could rise from just over $30 trillion to $44 trillion by 2030.
Clark stressed that the figure depended on continued technological advances and the emergence of new industries; it was a conditional forecast, not a guaranteed outcome. He acknowledged that the projection sounded outlandish and would require major changes in productivity and innovation.
He argued that AI could accelerate scientific work, including mathematics, engineering and drug discovery, by giving researchers large numbers of AI assistants. He also said broader access to computing infrastructure would help more countries participate in the benefits.
Clark paired the upside with warnings about cyber and biological misuse, job displacement and the risk that AI development could outpace human control. He urged international cooperation and particularly strict oversight for AI-enabled biological research.
The remarks placed AI near the centre of economic-policy discussions at the Bangkok meetings, with policymakers weighing productivity hopes against safety, employment and financial-stability risks.