Voters in Quebec are choosing members of the National Assembly on 5 October. A late campaign model pointed to a Parti Québécois win, with a majority still uncertain. This item does not report a winner.
Voters in Quebec go to the polls on Monday to elect members of the National Assembly. The election date of 5 October 2026 is recorded by CBC and The Guardian in Wikipedia's current-events portal and was the fixed date of the provincial campaign.
Final campaign polling compiled by Éric Grenier's Writ tracker, updated on the evening of 4 October, projected the Parti Québécois ahead. In that model the PQ won a majority in 36 percent of simulations and a minority in 58 percent, with an average of about 58 seats. Sixty-four seats are needed for a majority in the 125-seat assembly. Those figures are projections, not results.
The same tracker projected the Liberals returning as official opposition at around 37 seats and the Conservatives near official party status, with roughly 17 seats and just over 20 percent of the vote. Seat estimates can move once ballots are counted.
This brief does not report a winner. Polls were open on election day and official returns from Élections Québec had not been confirmed in the sources used here at the time of writing.
The next verified step is the publication of preliminary results by provincial election officials after polls close.